Edge and Odds

The enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it’s the illusion of knowledge (Stephen Hawking)

It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so (Mark Twain)

Edge and Odds

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Recent Analysis

Lucky Fed! Aug. 26, 2024

American Exceptionalism: Don’t Extrapolate Feb. 21, 2024

2024 Economic Scenarios Jan, 2, 2024

Slowing, Really? Dec. 11, 2023

CHINA IMPLODING? NO, EXPLODING! Nov. 20, 2023

The Wealth Defect Sep. 11, 2023

Economic Perspectives: Re-Acceleration! April 24, 2023

EQUITY RATINGS

RULE OF 20 P/E: 26.8. Very overvalued using trailing EPS of $230.69 and inflation rate of 3.3%.

(last updated: Aug. 26, 2024 @ 5425)

(Star rating below: more red, more negative, more green, more positive.)

Fundamental Ratings

Rule of 20 P/E:

 4/5

EPS Trends:

 2.4/5

Inflation Trends

 1/5

Personal Technical Ratings

SP 500 200 Day Moving Average

 1.9/5

13/34- Week EMA Trend

 1.5/5

SP 500 50 vs 200 Day Moving Average

Volume demand/supply (NDR)

THE “RULE OF 20” EQUITY VALUATION METHOD (An Update)

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